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solyanik
Site Supporter / FFL Dealer
Location: Seattle Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2011 Posts: 3420
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I am thinking, with a year going by and no stats to show that I-594 did anything to violence, what about running an initiative to repeal it? At the very minimum, it would force public discussion about effectiveness of gun laws, and it also will take the fight to WAGR, instead of letting them build on "success".
Who coordinated the previous"no new firearms law" initiative?
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 6:27 am |
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Massivedesign
Site Admin
Location: Olympia, WA Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2011 Posts: 38307
Real Name: Dan
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I'm in. Devils advocate though. Just as we can say it hasn't done any good, they can show using that same logic that it hasn't done any bad.
Besides the balatant constitutional issue, all 594 is, is a nuance. And to the antis, or the people who just don't care, our annoyance isn't enough to sway.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 6:41 am |
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never_to_much
Site Supporter
Location: Snohomish Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 Posts: 2034
Real Name: Steven
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It'd a good idea especially if you can get it on the 2016 ballot. More voters turn out and guns being a large issue right now more pro then not. Money is the issue to get advertising with truth. But then Blumberg come in and dumps millions in to misinformation advertising
Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
_________________ Everyone that voted for 594 is a motherfucking moron
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 6:48 am |
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DSynger
Site Supporter
Location: Kansas City Joined: Tue Oct 16, 2012 Posts: 2790
Real Name: Brad
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I like the idea, but wouldn't it be better to put the money into legal action that could put the smack down on the law?
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 7:03 am |
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ANZAC
Site Supporter
Location: 12 Acres in Eastern WA Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2012 Posts: 7251
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Massivedesign wrote: I'm in. Devils advocate though. Just as we can say it hasn't done any good, they can show using that same logic that it hasn't done any bad.
Besides the balatant constitutional issue, all 594 is, is a nuance. And to the antis, or the people who just don't care, our annoyance isn't enough to sway. The big question is what is the lead time between a criminal acquiring a gun and committing a crime. There were plenty of criminals armed BEFORE 594. It is not going to have an immediate blanket effect, more of a cumulative effect.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:57 am |
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solyanik
Site Supporter / FFL Dealer
Location: Seattle Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2011 Posts: 3420
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By the time the initiative is on the ballot, you will have 2 years of data. More importantly, you will force the electorate into data-driven discussion. And that WAGR is guaranteed to lose.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 12:02 pm |
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never_to_much
Site Supporter
Location: Snohomish Joined: Fri Mar 25, 2011 Posts: 2034
Real Name: Steven
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solyanik wrote: By the time the initiative is on the ballot, you will have 2 years of data. More importantly, you will force the electorate into data-driven discussion. And that WAGR is guaranteed to lose. Not necessarily true. They just go straight to the emotional non factual argument which how we lost in the first place. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
_________________ Everyone that voted for 594 is a motherfucking moron
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 12:09 pm |
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pdrake
Location: Seattle Joined: Thu Feb 7, 2013 Posts: 694
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Thanks, Soly, for an interesting idea.
Personally, I don't think I-594 by itself is the "enemy." Thus, a repeal campaign would not be the best use of resources. How about considering a wholesale rethink of gun laws? (I know, I can hear the detractors now.) The foolishness of "gun free zones," prohibition of private sales of firearms by law-abiding citizens, total lack of mental health considerations regarding firearms ownership, license requirements for concealed pistols. My personal pet peeves might not be yours.
I agree I-594 is a spaghetti tangle of nonsense, and I would rather not have it. But I think a referendum campaign (or even better a Legislature-led rewrite of multiple gun laws) would be even better.
Here is a thought: What simple new legislation would Dave Workman recommend, something that would pass muster with a majority of voters in this state?
_________________RENCORP wrote: After all, politics is porn too, only without the happy ending.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 12:27 pm |
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ANZAC
Site Supporter
Location: 12 Acres in Eastern WA Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2012 Posts: 7251
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solyanik wrote: By the time the initiative is on the ballot, you will have 2 years of data. More importantly, you will force the electorate into data-driven discussion. And that WAGR is guaranteed to lose. Well, the problem is we don't have all the data we need. The 594 supporter theory goes this way: requiring a seller to get a background check will limit the avenues a prohibited person has to get a gun. They'll either steal a gun (we should look at firearm theft trends) or buy from the remaining presumably fewer number of people who will sell without a background check, i.e. the black market. The limited supply will drive the price up. If we could track the DENY rate from private sales it might be directional but it really isn't the story we're looking for. What we really need to know is how many prohibited people go "aww shucks" and abandon trying to buy a gun either because the black market price is too high or because Joe Public asks to head to an FFL to complete the transaction.
Last edited by ANZAC on Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:39 pm |
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solyanik
Site Supporter / FFL Dealer
Location: Seattle Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2011 Posts: 3420
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> What we really need to know is how many prohibited people go "aww shucks" and abandon trying to buy a gun either because the black market price is too high or because Joe Public asks to head to an FFL to complete the transaction.
I think that's why I-594 failed to make any impact. The only people who go "aww shucks" are the people who are generally law abiding, but have a DUI on their record which they didn't know would affect their ability to buy guns. Anger management class, depression treatment, etc will also have a similar effect.
The people who are real criminals - they don't come to my store in the first place. It's much easier to get them from the existing criminal market.
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:44 pm |
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ANZAC
Site Supporter
Location: 12 Acres in Eastern WA Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2012 Posts: 7251
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solyanik wrote: > What we really need to know is how many prohibited people go "aww shucks" and abandon trying to buy a gun either because the black market price is too high or because Joe Public asks to head to an FFL to complete the transaction.
I think that's why I-594 failed to make any impact. The only people who go "aww shucks" are the people who are generally law abiding, but have a DUI on their record which they didn't know would affect their ability to buy guns. Anger management class, depression treatment, etc will also have a similar effect.
The people who are real criminals - they don't come to my store in the first place. It's much easier to get them from the existing criminal market. Well that's the point, very hard to track how many of them bought from the private market. I agree they didn't go to your store. Only an idiot would go to an FFL to buy a gun knowing he was a felon. (I realize this does not rule out all felons)
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Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:48 pm |
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