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 Russia-Ukraine War 
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hkhnm wrote:
This is a surprisingly good read. Paywalled ...


Actually the full RUSI report itself (69 pages) they comment on from behind a paywall is openly available in full :
https://static.rusi.org/359-SR-Ukraine- ... -final.pdf

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Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same, or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children and our children's children what it was once like in the United States where men were free.”

Ronald Reagan Oct. 27, 1964


Fri Dec 02, 2022 10:46 pm
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JohnMBrowning wrote:
Are you saying flying targeted landmines?


More or less. IFF is very sophisticated and difficult --- the drone needs a "brain." To just target and kill heat signatures as a launch-and-forget, that's very simple. Get a hearty chunk of flying RDX and there's no defense against that, really. The drone has no link back to an operator to defeat, you'd literally have to individually shoot them down or get really savvy with targeted EMP.

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Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:00 am
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hkcavalier wrote:
JohnMBrowning wrote:
Are you saying flying targeted landmines?


More or less. IFF is very sophisticated and difficult --- the drone needs a "brain." To just target and kill heat signatures as a launch-and-forget, that's very simple. Get a hearty chunk of flying RDX and there's no defense against that, really. The drone has no link back to an operator to defeat, you'd literally have to individually shoot them down or get really savvy with targeted EMP.


If you make it so it's still a person controlling the drone, that will help with fratricide. Build in the capability that if the transmitter is then jammed, the drone goes into autonomous suicide mode, seeking out the closest heat signature or something similar.


Sat Dec 03, 2022 11:15 am
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NotAMerc wrote:
hkcavalier wrote:
JohnMBrowning wrote:
Are you saying flying targeted landmines?


More or less. IFF is very sophisticated and difficult --- the drone needs a "brain." To just target and kill heat signatures as a launch-and-forget, that's very simple. Get a hearty chunk of flying RDX and there's no defense against that, really. The drone has no link back to an operator to defeat, you'd literally have to individually shoot them down or get really savvy with targeted EMP.


If you make it so it's still a person controlling the drone, that will help with fratricide. Build in the capability that if the transmitter is then jammed, the drone goes into autonomous suicide mode, seeking out the closest heat signature or something similar.


That creates some interesting "jam at launch" counter tactics


Sat Dec 03, 2022 12:01 pm
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It's only a matter of time before really good AI gets built into these things. The will get good at autonomousmy identifying armed versus unarmed targets, uniformed versus civilian dressed people, military versus civilian vehicles.

At that point it's basically Terminator.


Sat Dec 03, 2022 2:47 pm
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hkhnm wrote:
NotAMerc wrote:
hkcavalier wrote:
JohnMBrowning wrote:
Are you saying flying targeted landmines?


More or less. IFF is very sophisticated and difficult --- the drone needs a "brain." To just target and kill heat signatures as a launch-and-forget, that's very simple. Get a hearty chunk of flying RDX and there's no defense against that, really. The drone has no link back to an operator to defeat, you'd literally have to individually shoot them down or get really savvy with targeted EMP.


If you make it so it's still a person controlling the drone, that will help with fratricide. Build in the capability that if the transmitter is then jammed, the drone goes into autonomous suicide mode, seeking out the closest heat signature or something similar.


That creates some interesting "jam at launch" counter tactics


True, but everything about these systems going forward is going to get more complicated. Anything with an IFF can get spoofed or jammed, so you're back at how to use these autonomously without them striking your own forces.


Sat Dec 03, 2022 2:47 pm
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Really good AI for target identification isn't far future. Google Vision, Amazon Rekognition, Microsoft Computer Vision all have the ability to recognize individuals, armed versus unarmed, uniformed vs civilian (and what uniform), military vs civilian vehicles, and whether the target is firing weapons or not. Easy to program rules of engagement on top of that

They're cloud based meaning they take some horsepower to do it but it's not decades away before somebody will print the logic on a chip that can be installed into what will then legit be an autonomous Terminator.

People at Google tried protesting the company building it, but it's only a matter of time

The Chinese do a lot of AI so you can bet they are working on this. They're limited in semiconductor manufacturing but they are fixing that too.


Sat Dec 03, 2022 2:55 pm
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https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-altere ... 1670214338
U.S. Altered Himars Rocket Launchers to Keep Ukraine From Firing Missiles Into Russia

Quote:
...U.S. officials say the Pentagon has modified the launchers so they can’t fire long-range missiles, including the U.S.’s Army Tactical Missile System rockets, or ATACMS, which have a range of nearly 200 miles.

The previously undisclosed modifications show the lengths the Biden administration has gone to balance its support for Ukraine’s forces against the risk of escalation with Moscow. They also reflect apprehensions among administration officials that their Ukrainian partner might stop keeping its promise not to strike Russian territory with U.S.-provided weapons.

...The U.S. has refrained from supplying Ukraine with long-range ATACMS missiles. But the modifications ensure that Ukraine couldn’t use the Himars launchers the U.S. has provided to fire ATACMS missiles if Kyiv were to acquire them from other sources, such as foreign nations that have purchased the weapons from the U.S. Nor could Ukraine use those launchers to fire other types of longer-range missiles if Kyiv somehow managed to produce or acquire them, officials say.

The Pentagon declined to comment on the modifications, which U.S. officials said involve their hardware and software....


"Thank you!"
-V.V. Putin :thumbsup2:

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Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same, or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children and our children's children what it was once like in the United States where men were free.”

Ronald Reagan Oct. 27, 1964


Mon Dec 05, 2022 9:31 am
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SurfPerch wrote:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-altered-himars-rocket-launchers-to-keep-ukraine-from-firing-missiles-into-russia-11670214338
U.S. Altered Himars Rocket Launchers to Keep Ukraine From Firing Missiles Into Russia

Quote:
...U.S. officials say the Pentagon has modified the launchers so they can’t fire long-range missiles, including the U.S.’s Army Tactical Missile System rockets, or ATACMS, which have a range of nearly 200 miles.

The previously undisclosed modifications show the lengths the Biden administration has gone to balance its support for Ukraine’s forces against the risk of escalation with Moscow. They also reflect apprehensions among administration officials that their Ukrainian partner might stop keeping its promise not to strike Russian territory with U.S.-provided weapons.

...The U.S. has refrained from supplying Ukraine with long-range ATACMS missiles. But the modifications ensure that Ukraine couldn’t use the Himars launchers the U.S. has provided to fire ATACMS missiles if Kyiv were to acquire them from other sources, such as foreign nations that have purchased the weapons from the U.S. Nor could Ukraine use those launchers to fire other types of longer-range missiles if Kyiv somehow managed to produce or acquire them, officials say.

The Pentagon declined to comment on the modifications, which U.S. officials said involve their hardware and software....


"Thank you!"
-V.V. Putin :thumbsup2:


I bet those 'modifications' could be bypassed/fixed by a 14 y/o...I'd bet money on it.

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Mon Dec 05, 2022 9:34 am
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Probably, but it's kind of like the glass box over the fire alarm: breaking the glass shows willful intent. Can't claim you didn't know you weren't supposed to - so from a Russian POV that's clear it's not something the US wanted, therefore no nuclear war.


Mon Dec 05, 2022 10:25 am
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https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... paign=1114

Economic and humanitarian collateral damage may force the U.S. to negotiate?

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... paign=1114

"But the Americans now appear to understand the looming danger of winter with no power. Doubtless, this is what led William Burns, the CIA’s director to meet his opposite Russian intelligence chief in Ankara two weeks ago. The official story was that Burns was there to warn the Russians not to resort to nuclear weapons and to raise the issue of US prisoners.[i] But there is little doubt that this back-channel meeting was to explore compromises before America finds itself a party to the cruel sacrifice of the Ukrainian population in a proxy war...."

more about waning dollar supremacy also discussed therein.

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"The said Constitution shall never be construed to authorize Congress to prevent the people of the United States who are peaceable citizens from keeping their own arms." ~ Samuel Adams

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Láodòng zhèng zhūwèi zìyóu

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Mon Dec 05, 2022 11:51 am
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I don't think anyone but the Russians will be blamed if Winter turns into a humanitarian catastrophe in Ukraine due to Russian attacks on the power grid.

I can see India having second thoughts about remaining neutral if it results in mass deaths. China probably doesn't give a shit but India is a religious country that values life.


Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:48 pm
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Weapons shipped to Ukraine filter into Africa. Never would have guessed this wpuld happen :wink05:

https://english.almayadeen.net/news/pol ... dium=email

"Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari urges heads of states from neighboring states participating in the Lake Chad Basin Commission to confront the issue of Western arms smuggling from Ukraine."

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“Finding ‘common ground’ with the thinking of evil men is a fool’s errand” ~ Herschel Smith

"The said Constitution shall never be construed to authorize Congress to prevent the people of the United States who are peaceable citizens from keeping their own arms." ~ Samuel Adams

“A return to First Principles in a Republic is sometimes caused by simple virtues of a single man. His good example has such an influence that the good men strive to imitate him, and the wicked are ashamed to lead a life so contrary to his example. Before all else, be armed!” ~ Niccolo Machiavelli

Láodòng zhèng zhūwèi zìyóu

FJB


Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:51 pm
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If Ukrainians die from freezing to death after the TENS OF BILLIONS Brandon gave to them specifically for infrastructure then that's on them and Zelenskyy will be proven a thief despot.

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If you vote for Biden you are voting to be murdered when he sends Beto to come take your "semi automatic assault weapon" (any semi auto).
If you have family or friends voting for Biden show them this and ask if they are willing to vote for your murder or maybe even their own if they are gun owners or live with any.
https://nypost.com/2020/03/03/joe-biden ... n-control/
Quote:
“I want to make something clear, I’m going to guarantee you this is not the last you’ve seen of him (Beto),” Biden said Monday evening during a campaign rally in Dallas. “You’re (Beto) going to take care of the gun problem with me. You’re (Beto) going to be the one who leads this effort.”

https://www.newsweek.com/beto-orourke-g ... ns-1465738
Quote:
[Beto O'Rourke Suggests Police Would 'Visit' Homes To Implement Proposed Assault Weapons Ban] "In that case, I think that there would be a visit by law enforcement to recover that firearm... ..."If someone does not turn in an AR-15 or an AK-47, one of these weapons of war...then that weapon will be taken from them"


Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:52 pm
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Alpine wrote:
If Ukrainians die from freezing to death after the TENS OF BILLIONS Brandon gave to them specifically for infrastructure then that's on them ...


Indeed!


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Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same, or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children and our children's children what it was once like in the United States where men were free.”

Ronald Reagan Oct. 27, 1964


Mon Dec 05, 2022 3:05 pm
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